Luke’s Wagon Weekend Bets Part 6

The Best Betting Blog in the World!

Firstly, apologise for my sabbatical but with the xmas festivities and the poor run, I thought a break and a bit of self-pampering was in order. The punting although limited (too much family time!!) was fairly kind to me and the coffers have swelled slightly.

The highlight of the year, let alone month, was Sprinter Sacre’s demolition of Peddlers Cross at Kempton. For someone who has had their biggest ever bet at 12’s and 6’s for the Arkle I can only describe his performance on the 27th as a ‘wet dream!’

In fact, if it hadn’t been for Sam Waley-Cohen’s ineptitude on Long Run, it would have been the perfect Christmas. Yes he has won a King George and a Gold Cup on him so he deserves to be respected. However, he is an amateur and Barry Geraghty is a professional. The main difference between an amateur for me and a professional is ‘consistency.’ For example anyone could fluke a goal playing for Man Utd, but Rooney would score 25!

Waley-Cohen is not consistent enough and his presentation of Long Run as his fences was shambolic, particularly the last, when Waley-Cohen was all at sea. I think the difference between the two was never more prevalent than Geraghty’s fantastic ride to get Finians Rainbow home at Kempton.

Having smashed through four out, Geraghty didn’t panic; he composed the horse and himself, let the horse find itself and got him up on the line. A horse with Long Run’s ability should not hit four fences in the row, no excuses. Waley Cohen panicked the first time he hit a fence and kept asking him for a big one rather than easing him round and nurturing him over his fences. I will leave you with this: horses do not lose the King George by half a length with their ears pricked!

Rant over and moving on. The current running figure for this block continues to plummet but it’s a new year and we are going to chop it off!!

Running P & L = -£395.26

Horse Racing Big Bets

Luckily I decided not to write this blog yesterday however if I had we would all have been on Colour Squadron lumpy at 2/1….can someone please tell me how that didn’t win, matched at 1.02!! Maybe it’s a sign that is blog is taking a turn for the better…..although I highly doubt it.

Football Big Bets

I’m going to keep this short and sweet. Man Utd are poor and the injuries are building up. The confidence and strength in depth Man City have is unrivalled and with beating Utd in the Cup last year they will have no fear. City at home look too strong and the 11/10 looks value to me.

Sunderland have more than turned the corner under Martin O’Neill and are even scoring some goals. Tipping up over 2.5 is just too dull and too short at 8/13. I firmly believe O’Neill will want to keep the momentum going and by fielding a decent side Evs about a Sunderland victory look generous.

The final leg of the football Trixie is under 2.5 goals at Hillsborough, where Wednesday host Sam Allerdyce’s West Ham. Under 2.5 is 10/11 and it should be a tight affair.

NFL Big Bets

Wildcard weekend has finally arrived and Tim Tebow is involved… someone tell me how! I could write a big piece about the regular season, the rise of Tebow, Big Bens injuries etc etc, but this is how I see it. Pittsburgh are better than Denver, Roethlisberger is a far superior QB to Tebow and is vastly more experienced. Pittsburgh – 8 @ 10/11, will happen….it just has to to keep me sane!!! Go Steelers!!

My Big Bets

Man City @ 11/10, Sunderland @ Evs, Sheff Wed u2.5 @ 10/11 – 1 point win Trixie
Pittsburgh -8 @ 10/11 – 8 points win