[dropcap]G[/dropcap]ood night (as predicted) on the bookings front last night with nine yellows in the Italy v Sweden game but I couldn’t get the red card bet over the line. Still a good profit.
Plenty of ‘glamour ties’ tonight including of course England v Brazil at Wembley. I’m increasingly cynical about these friendlies and the seemingly blatant commercialisation of them with the actual games providing very little clues for punters with, in the main, experimental line-ups.
Friendlies aren’t for me punting wise but each to their own. Republic Of Ireland v Denmark looks much more juicy from a punting perspective and just like last night I see no reason why bookings shouldn’t be high and I’m in the mood for the same bet on over 4.5 cards (4/5) and a red (7/2) with Star Sports.
This game is even more delicately poised than the Italian game last night (and just HOW bad were Italy – shocking, they have only themselves to blame) as it finished 0-0 in Sweden.
There’s been such a dearth of goals that I’m surprised 0-0 isn’t odds-on pre kick-off … I’m exaggerating but not by much. Suffice to say one goal could easily prove a golden goal and send a team straight to Russia.
With so much at stake and yellow cards effectively wiped clear in terms of the World Cup it’s easy to see why it could become a free for all.
Hopefully referee Szymon Marciniak will make his mark on the game as early as the ref last night with a couple of very early yellows.
The ref is averaging over 4 cards per game in 17 games this season so surely the ‘over 4.5’ looks a good bet at 4/5. Interestingly he hasn’t used the red this season but flashed it 17 times last season including three in one game so he certainly isn’t adverse to getting involved.
Republic of Ireland v Denmark
FIFA World Cup 2018 Play-Off 2nd Leg
19:45 Sky Sports Football / Sky Sports Main Event
HEAD TO HEAD RECORD
(Maximum 10 matches)
Nov 2017 WORLD CUP Denmark 0-0 Ireland
Aug 2007 INTERNATIONAL Denmark 0-4 Ireland
Mar 2002 INTERNATIONAL Ireland 3-0 Denmark
Apr 1993 WORLD CUP Ireland 1-1 Denmark
Oct 1992 WORLD CUP Denmark 0-0 Ireland
Nov 1985 WORLD CUP Ireland 1-4 Denmark
Nov 1984 WORLD CUP Denmark 3-0 Ireland
May 1979 EURO CHAMPIONSHIPS Ireland 2-0 Denmark
May 1978 EURO CHAMPIONSHIPS Denmark 3-3 Ireland
Oct 1969 WORLD CUP Ireland 1-1 Denmark
Same as last night – I’m doing what Einstein pointed out…. doing the same thing and expecting the same results.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK RED CARD 3 points at 7/2 with Star Sports
BACK OVER 4.5 CARDS 12 points at 4/5 with Star Sports
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 35.14 points