AUTHOR: Star Sports Content

Are Swansea running out of steam?

Swansea v Newcastle

Premier League
7.45pm, BT SPORT

[dropcap]H[/dropcap]uge night of Premier League action and by virtue of where the TV cameras are most betting interest will be at the Liberty Stadium for the visit of Newcastle.

But there are arguably better games taking place elsewhere. Whatever, it’s going to be a huge night of Premier League drama.

Arsenal v Hull 19:45
Liverpool v Norwich 19:45
Man Utd v Everton 19:45
Southampton v Aston Villa 19:45
Stoke v Cardiff 19:45
Sunderland v Chelsea 19:45
Swansea v Newcastle 19:45
Fulham v Tottenham 20:00
West Brom v Man City 20:00

I’m full of admiration for Swansea but think they are too short here. My theory on Swansea is that they are beginning to run out of steam. Possibly the Europa League commitments beginning to show. They certainly looked jaded when beaten 1-0 by Valencia in their latest match and offered little resistance against Man City in the Premier League on Sunday.

They are up against a full-strength Newcastle side tonight who won ALL their games in November and look very tempting tonight at around 5/2 to make it five wins on the spin, even though Swansea won both matches last season.

HEAD TO HEAD RECORD
(Max last 10 only)
Mar 2013 Premier Swansea 1-0 Newcastle
Nov 2012 Premier Newcastle 1-2 Swansea
Apr 2012 Premier Swansea 0-2 Newcastle
Dec 2011 Premier Newcastle 0-0 Swansea
Feb 2010 Championship Swansea 1-1 Newcastle
Nov 2009 Championship Newcastle 3-0 Swansea
Jan 1995 FA Cup Newcastle 3-0 Swansea
Mat 1984 Div 2 (old) Newcastle 2-0 Swansea
Oct 1983 Div 2 (old) Swansea 1-2 Newcastle
Dec 1980 Div 2 (old) Swansea 4-0 Newcastle

Interestingly, Swansea’s only home win in the Premier League this season came when they defeated Sunderland 4-0 in October, although it could be argued with some justification that they were unfortunate not to beat Stoke last month.

Newcastle look the value, and the bet for me.

RECOMMENDED BET (1-10 points)

5 points NEWCASTLE at around 5.2 with Star Sports

What’s your view?

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