SIMON NOTT: 2022 Pro-Punter Resolutions

It’s the time of year that a lot of us decide to wipe the slate, clean up our acts and start the New Year as we mean to go on. As this blog tends to talk about punting and has access to some shrewdies, I thought I’d ask them to try and help us with a ‘Golden Rule’ to try to an adhere to in our quest to cop a few quid in 2022. I asked around and got some top tips from the guys that make it pay.

Starting with this week’s #BettingPeople interviewee.

Gearoid Norris – ‘While the racing media can pretend that the four days of the Cheltenham Festival is not the be and end all, for most punters, it’s a stark reality. You simply must win over those four days in March. Hopefully most punters have now accepted that soft ground in March can easily happen, and just building an ante post book around good ground horses is no longer a winning strategy. What about the handicaps? What could change in 2022? There was much fanfare and column inches written about the performance of the British trained horses in 2021. The handicapping system was put forward as one of the key reasons why they couldn’t compete. They lost the handicap battle TWO-SEVEN to the Irish. In 2020 Ireland had won six to Great Britain’s four. I can’t see Irish horses being let in as light in 2022 and I’m sure some British trainers will make a better effort of getting to March to have something up their sleeve. Don’t assume what worked for the last few years in the Cheltenham handicaps will work in 2022.’

🎥 Gearoid’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-gearoid-norris//

Andrew Mount – ‘Be flexible. You’ve been following a key race that has thrown up three subsequent winners and the big eye catcher who ran third in that contest is out today. You went to bed dreaming of 7/2 but wake to find he’s 5/4. Worse still he was 5/2 for about five seconds with one of the Mickey Mouse firms who closed your account years ago. You’ve got the hump, you waited a month for this bet so what do you do? Lumping on at 5/4 is not the answer. Being happy with that decision if he hoses up is not easy but it will come. Similarly, if you’ve backed a front runner in the fifth race at Lingfield but the horses who made the running in the first four races – all fancied in the betting – have been treading water in the ‘swamp’ and finishing well beaten, you may need to close out of your bet at a loss and instead back something you didn’t fancy pre-race but who you know will come late and wide to challenge.’

🎥 Andrew’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/meeting-andrew-mount/

Rich Hassall – ‘Get rid of all superstitions and hard luck stories, be harder on yourself because performance is everything & then without the game face on, learn how best to switch off from punting mode and enjoy your life’

🎥 Rich’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-rich-hassall/

Steve Lewis Hamilton – ‘Try to fully grasp the concept of value. Attempt to price the races you are interested in blind, don’t look at the market before formulating your own tissue. With all the information that’s available it’s very easy to be sucked in to backing horses because they look like “winners”. Identifying value has and will always be the key to long term success’.

🎥 Steve’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-masterclass-steve-lewis-hamilton/

Stephen Harris – ‘Find one area where you completely specialise, whether its Henlow greyhounds or Division Four of Japanese table tennis, study everything about it and avoid recreational bets elsewhere’

🎥  Stephen’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-stephen-harris/

Anthony Kaminskas – ‘Nurturing an account to get the maximum out of it is crucial to longevity. Key to this is working out just how much a ‘clean’ account with a certain bookmaker is worth to you. In horse racing chasing your tail betting shorteners before midday only ends one way – small profits and no account. Instead find ways to win after midday. 1% of £100,000 is better than 20% of £1,000. Value not expressed in the closing line is the holy grail. Find it’.

🎥 Anthony’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-anthony-kaminskas/

Ben Krahe – ‘My punting resolution and ALWAYS #1 rule is PRICE IS KING’.

🎥 Ben’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-ben-krahe/

Mark Holder – ‘Listen to all the “experts” and work out why they’re wrong. If you don’t think they’re wrong, don’t bet. When you think they’re wrong (based on your analysis) get stuck in. Those will be your best bets. Also, don’t concern yourself with individual results. By accepting that horses are not machines, and none of us can possibly know what will happen it’ll help your mind-set when you have a poor run of results; which everyone does (however clever they are).

🎥 Mark’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-mark-holder/

Steve ‘Rucker’ Noyce – ‘1, Never ever ever say to yourself in the back of your mind that “I’ve finally got this game by the cobblers” because the day after you’ll get carried out. 2, a freebie from me, play every race on its merits, if it’s a £50 liability race or a £5k liability race your senses will tell you which one.’

🎥 Steve’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/meeting-steve-rucker-noyce/

Mark Hill – ‘I would say, to make consistent profits, specialise on one aspect, keep strict records, and be honest with yourself.’

🎥 Mark’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-mark-hill/

Andrew Lowrie – ‘There are so many topics I could have chosen. Specialisation, staking to name just a couple. However, if I were to suggest just one way a punter can improve, it would to be to think in probabilities not outcomes. We hear the question all the time “Who do you think will win the Cheltenham 3.00?” or whatever race. Think logically and you’ll understand it’s a ridiculous question to ask, yet people working in betting or racing ask it all the time.

How does anyone know who’s going to win a horse race, or any sporting event? As a punter all we can ask ourselves is what chance a certain horse or football team has of winning. If after we analyse a race, we believe a horse has a 3/1 chance of winning, and its available at bigger odds we should consider a bet. If its price is shorter than 3/1, even if we believe it’s the likeliest winner, we should refrain from betting it. The question you should ask is which horse offers the most value, not who you think will win. This approach won’t make you a winner overnight, however it will make you a better punter than you were in 2021 I guarantee.

🎥 Andrew’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-andrew-lowrie/

Neil Channing – ‘I think it’s a good idea to get used to losing. Most punters are pretty smart and thoughtful when things are going right, when they are studying and planning their bets for the day. It’s once they’ve backed a few losers and are getting rattled that you find out who has the heart for the game. Resolve to realise that you can’t win every bet, that sometimes horses fall at the last or get nutted on the line, and just be happy when you made a good bet and try not to think about the results.

🎥 Neil’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/meeting-neil-channing/

Martin Raymond – ‘Be confident in your own decisions, don’t worry if you think it’s too short a price, when in doubt, step back. Re-group and then GO IN AGAIN!’

🎥 Martin’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-martin-raymond/

Adam Norman – ‘Don’t be afraid to back market drifters. Whether it’s during the morning or on the show, it often feels counter-intuitive to back a horse you fancy that is a much bigger price than you were expecting. Or you discounted one because it was too short but has doubled in price. Don’t let this put you off. While the horse in question will often run as the market anticipated, I can guarantee that over the long term getting that extra value on your selection will pay dividends. And you’ll feel a little bit smug into the bargain!’

🎥 Adam’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-adam-norman/

Andy Gibson – ‘Ignore information, particularly when attached to horses making their racecourse debuts.’

🎥 Andy’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/bettingpeople-andy-gibson/

and the final decisive word from….

Dean Valentine – ‘Back as few losers as possible’

🎥 Dean’s #BettingPeople interview
https://www.starsportsbet.co.uk/interview-dean-valentine/

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Wishing you all health, happiness, good luck and a healthy profit in your punting in 2022. Hopefully this advice will help with the latter along the way. Thanks to everyone who reads and thus supports these blogs and interviews. It is most appreciated.

SIMON NOTT

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Views of authors do not necessarily represent views of Star Sports Bookmakers.

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Simon Nott is author of: Skint Mob! Tales from the Betting Ring
available on Kindle CLICK HERE FOR MORE DETAILS

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