AUTHOR: Star Sports Content

STAR CYCLING PREVIEW: Tour de France 2023 – STAGE 10

We’ve had an incredibly explosive first week, which started and ended with GC action as Adam Yates took the first stage and yellow jersey, keeping it through the Basque Country grand depart before a fantastic mountain raid by Jai Hindley saw the Australian – who featured prominently in the ante-post betting and our overall preview – take yellow.

110th Tour de France 
Stage 10, Vulcania > Issore
Tuesday 11th July
Live from 11:30am Saturday on Eurosport 1 HD, GCN and GCN + & ITV 4 HD from 11.00am

That also saw defending Champion Jonas Vingegaard land a hammer blow on Tadej Pogacar, putting 40 seconds into him on Col de Marie Blanc and then increasing that advantage on the descent and the run in. Vingegaard crossed the finish line in fifth place, 34 seconds behind Hindley, whilst Guilo Ciccone was third, with the top ten separated by just two minutes.

The next stage was the second in the Pyrenees, where Tadej Pogacar fought back to take the stage win and cut the gap on Vingegaard, who took over the leader’s jersey, to just 25 seconds. Jumbo-Visma laid the hurt on over the Tourmalet, dropping all but Pogacar thanks to Wilco Kelderman and Sepp Kuss, but on the climb to Cauterets-Cambasque Pogacar counter attacked and soloed away over the last two kilometres.

Elsewhere, Jasper Philipsen took a hat-trick of stage wins, taking his third success on stage 7 over Mark Cavendish and Biniam Girmay, and Mads Pedersen took the uphill sprint to Limoges ahead of Philipsen and Van Aert on Stage 8.

Stage 9 made Tour history, as the race returned to the Puy de Dôme for the first time in over 3 decades, and the legendary climb saw two legendary battles – the first for the stage win as Michael Woods timed his charge to perfection, and then the second for the yellow jersey as Tadej Pogacar managed to gain eight seconds on Jonas Vingegaard, cutting the gap back to just 17 seconds between the pair.

Overall Standings 📊

1. Jonas Vingegaard (Den/Jumbo-Visma) 38hrs 37mins 46secs
2. Tadej Pogacar (Slo/UAE Team Emirates) +17secs
3. Jai Hindley (Aus/Bora-Hansgrohe) +2mins 40secs
4. Carlos Rodriguez Cano (Spa/Ineos Grenadiers) +4mins 22secs
5. Adam Yates (GB/UAE Team Emirates) +4mins 39secs
6. Simon Yates (GB/Team Jayco-AlUla) +4mins 44secs
7. Thomas Pidcock (GB/Ineos Grenadiers) +5mins 26secs
8. David Gaudu (Fra/Groupama-FDJ) +6mins 07secs
9. Sepp Kuss (US/Jumbo-Visma) +6mins 45secs
10. Romain Bardet (Spa/Bahrain Victorious) +6mins 58 secs

Which one of the big 2 is taking yellow? There are a lot of roads left to ride but already it’s over 2 minutes between them and third place Jai Hindley, and much of the debate is (understandably) about who will win what has the potential to be an epic battle.
Vinegaard was dominant on Col de Marie Blanc but Pogacar’s fightback since then suggests that the Slovenian wasn’t at his best that day and it would be no surprise if the gap was whittled down further when they next properly went head-to-head.

Tadej Pogacar shades favouritism at 5/6 with (Vinegaard is 11/10) and it’s hard to argue too much with their odds, nor the fact that it’s 33/1 bar the pair. With no each/way betting there’s not much incentive to get too involved although the 4/6 on a Sepp Kuss top ten finish is appealing given the amount of climbing yet to come and the fact he’s nearly a minute ahead of 11th placed Pello Bilbao.

Sprinters (Green Jersey)
1. Jasper Philipsen (BEL/Alpecin) — 259 points
2. Bryan Coquard (FRA/Cofidis) — 149
3. Mads Pedersen (DEN//Lidl-Trek) — 143
4. Wout van Aert (BEL/Team Jumbo-Visma) — 112
5. Tadej Pogacar (SLO/UAE Team Emirates) — 85

All wrapped up for Jasper Philipsen, who already has three stages. Mads Pedersen and Wout van Aert will try their best for raids, but one flat stage win gives 50 points to Philipsen, who has Mathieu van der Poel on leadout duty.

Climbers (Polka-Dot Jersey)
1. Neilson Powless (USA/EF Education Easy-Post) — 46
2. Felix Gall (AUT/AG2R Citroen) — 28
3. Tobias Halland Johannessen (NOR/Uno-X Pro Cycling Team) — 26
4. Ruben Guerreiro (POR/Movistar Team) — 22
5. Michael Woods (CAN Israel-Premier Tech) – 20

This is very open still, with Neilson Powless currently leading, although the bulk of the points are yet to be won. If Jumbo and UAE Emirates go for bonus seconds then our ante-post wager on Vingegaard has plenty of legs, but with a number of stages offering multiple points to the breakaway, climbers such as Felix Gall, Giulio Ciccone, Ruben Guerreiro, Michael Woods and Mattias Skjelmose are all potential polka-dot contenders.

Ben O’Connor and Thibaut Pinot could make this a goal to chase down too if they find their best legs, and with Powless leading on just 46 points it wouldn’t surprise if an outsider (as things stand in the betting) had their say.

Young Rider (White Jersey)
1. Tadej Pogacar (SLO/UAE Team Emirates) — 38:38:03
2. Carlos Rodriguez (ESP/INEOS Grenadiers) — +4:05
3. Tom Pidcock (GBR/INEOS Grenadiers) — +5:09
4. Felix Gall (AUT/AG2R Citroen) — +7:54
5. Mattias Skjelmose Jensen (DEN/Lidl-Trek) — +28:59

The sight of Tom Pidcock here is notable as he goes for a high finish in the GC, but this looks Pogacar’s for another year.

Teams Classification
1. Bahrain-Victorious (1:16:07)
2. INEOS Grenadiers +47
3. Jumbo-Visma +02.07
4. UAE Team Emirates +13.19
5. AG2R Citroen Team +13.51

A good first week for ante-post picks Bahrain, although Ineos are looming large with Carlos Rodriguez and Tom Pidcock going very well whilst they also have break options. We should see a good battle between them, Bahrain and Jumbo-Visma over the Alps – if Ineos GC pairing can continue in the same vein then they might have the advantage but Bahrain have plenty of options for breakaways across all terrain.

Stage 10 🚴

Whilst we leave the volcano of Puy de Dôme, there’s plenty of climbing for the riders as they face a hilly stage full of lumpy roads before a descent into Issoire.

Here are the climbs, which go from the start.

Col de la Moréno (4.8 kilometres at 4.7%)
Col de Guéry (7.8 kilometres at 5%)
Col de la Croix Saint-Robert (6 kilometres at 6.3%)
Côte de Saint-Victor-la-Rivière (3 kilometres at 5.9%)
Côte du Lac de Bourdouze (2.7 kilometres at 5.2%)
Col de Chamoune (4 kilometres at 4%)
Côte de la Chapelle-Marcousse (6.5 kilometres at 5.6%)

The last 900 metres before the village also go up at 5.2% before a 13.5 kilometres long descent which flattens out after the first 5 kilometres.

This has breakaway written all over it. The winner will need to be a good climber who packs a strong sprint, and team-mates in the move will help as well. The obvious place to start is with Wout van Aert and Mathieu van der Poel, both of whom should have freedom for the breakaway for today and possess the all-round skills needed for this stage, as well as the legs to make it into the winning escape. Van Aert is a worthy favourite, albeit well found at 10/3 with, and 7/1 about Van der Poel is value considering that he should also have Alpecin’s help with the early formation.

There are plenty of mountain points on offer, so one can expect interest from Neilson Powless, Felix Gall, Tobias Halland Johannessen, Ruben Guerreiro, Michael Woods and more. Of those names, Powless would make the most hypothetical appeal for this stage although if he makes the escape, he’s likely to spend much of his energy sprinting for the peaks which could leave him vulnerable.

EF should have a big role to play, with this stage suitable for Magnus Cort Nielsen, Alberto Bettiol and James Shaw, and Lidl-Trek could also be involved, with Ciccone wanting more points in the KOM competition whilst either Stage 8 winner Mads Pedersen or recent tour de France winner Mattias Skjelmose is another viable option.

Skjelmose, who has made a huge impression over the past year, lost a lot of time after suffering a crash on Stage 5 but if recovered, has some of the best form of any rider in the field and packs a strong sprint and good descending skills, both of which will be vital on Stage 10.

French Champion Valentin Madouas was on support duty for David Gaudu up the Puy de Dome, but if allowed a chance to attack then he could be a major threat. As high as 20th on GC, he has a strong one-day record and should find that the profile of this stage suits him very well, including the climbing from the start.

Yesterday he told FDJ’s website: “I can’t wait to get to the second week, which suits me very well. I will tackle it with a lot of ambition. It’s possible to do some nice things next week”.

Bahrain-Victorious, who lead the teams classification, are also enjoying a strong race and have contenders in Sunday’s second Matej Mohoric and Fred Wright whilst Julian Alaphillipe looks sure to give things a good go.


BACK Mathieu Van Der Poel – Stage 10 Winner 1 pt win at 7/1 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Mattias Skjelmose – Stage 10 Winner 0.5 pt each/way at 22/1 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Valentin Madouas – Stage 10 Winner 0.5 pt each/way at 50/1 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)

PROFIT/LOSS (JULY 2023): LOSS -13.88 points



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