DARTS

AUTHOR: Lewis Williams

STAR DARTS PREVIEW: Premier League Week 11

Welcome to Week 11 of the 2024 Premier League. This week, the 4-month road-show heads to Birmingham’s Utilita Arena where Luke Humphries heads the outright betting but Luke Littler bids for a third consecutive weekly win at 11/4, writes LEWIS WILLIAMS.

Monday and Tuesday saw fiercely competitive Players Championship action in Leicester where Chris Dobey and Danny Noppert got their names on the scoresheet in the early stages of this year’s pro tour.

Be sure to take advantage of our ‘Hit The Wire’ offer which provides you with 50% of your stake back as a free bet if your WEEK ELEVEN winner selection loses in the final.


WEEK ELEVEN WINNER

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? Luke Humphries
? Luke Littler
? Gerwyn Price
? Michael van Gerwen
? Michael Smith
? Rob Cross
? Nathan Aspinall
? Peter Wright


? Rob Cross
? Luke Littler

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I’ve been on the anti-Rob train for a few weeks which has yielded some great results, notably many times against Nathan Aspinall where the voltage seems to always be incorrectly priced up as favourite there. Although he’s not favourite today at ? , I’m going against him once again.

Now sitting 6th in the overall Premier League table, Rob now needs to wake up and fire in some serious performances including some runs to the final if he wants to make the playoffs.

Still yet to win a night after 10 opportunities, his performances have been less than inspiring in recent weeks with the consecutive tally of first round losses now up to four, including an average of 86.29 in Week 9. Although his performances in the most recent Players Championship 7-8 were somewhat encouraging, it won’t be enough to win tonight.

Last week in his local Manchester, Luke Littler showed just what a champion he is by winning his second consecutive night by not playing anywhere near his best. Although he got progressively better throughout the evening, numbers of 93.15, 98.45 and 100.48 wouldn’t set you alight by his standard. He had every chance to lose all of those games but dug the doubles out when it mattered most and went on to score in the final like a true winner. Somewhere close to that number will be enough to turn the lights off on the voltage on a -1.5 handicap at ? .

Luke had a similar narrative in Leicester for PC 7 and 8 when he never averaged triple figures but won five from seven of his matches, all with averages around the mid 90s mark. Despite a mindblowing performance from Humphries two weeks ago in the Euro Tour which he’s subsequently and understandably failed to back up, it seems as if the top 8 right now are somewhat coasting along the latter stages of the Premier League and Luke Littler might just be the best coaster we have in the game right now. I’m taking him to win Week 11 at ? .


? Gerwyn Price
? Michael Smith

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Gerwyn Price flattered to deceive last week after 2 fantastic performances of 107.88 and 102.88 in the first rounds before disappointedly falling to 93.07 in the final in defeat against Littler. That was a similar story to what happened in Cardiff for the first week and although it looks as if he’s fixed some of his double troubles, I’d be more inclined to go against him tonight in Birmingham when he’s as short as ? .

Michael Smith has been the massive eye-catcher in recent weeks and defied all expectations when dismissed what seemed to be an unplayable Luke Humphries at 11/5 with an average of 100.80 last week. Although he subsequently fell to Price at 6/5 in the semi-final, that wasn’t his true running with just one maximum in nine legs and I believe he’ll reverse that form today.

He’s been slowly on the up for a number of weeks now including when beating Littler and Price at large odds a few weeks ago, and playing respectable in Munich on the Euro Tour circuit when losing to Josh Rock. The standard between these two is currently closer than the market suggests and last week’s performances by the Welshman are distorting the odds here, giving some nice value for the Bully Boy at ? .


? Michael van Gerwen
? Nathan Aspinall

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Ever since winning three consecutive nights in weeks 2-4, the wheels have come flying off for World number 2 Michael van Gerwen and he’s lost 5 out of his last 6 opening games on the Premier League stage. With recent averages in defeat of 91.76 and 94.62 in Manchester and Belfast respectively, he now sits on the verge of missing the top 4 playoff qualification line despite being clear at the top after his three successive wins.

Nathan Aspinall on the other hand actually sits above Michael van Gerwen in the Premier League table in 3rd and has surpassed predictions with a win in Week 5 and reaching many other finals. His game has been flying lately and he’s looked as if he’s settled in nicely to the relentless arrows travel.

Asp clocked in a total average of 98.76 across six games in PC 7-8 events on Monday and Tuesday with four averages above 99. He most recently played with great credit in Manchester last week with averages of 100.08 and 98.45 compared to the Dutchman’s 91.76 and it’s clear his game is in a much better place right now. He is too big at ? and is a good bet.

LEWIS WILLIAMS


RECOMMENDED BETS
BACK Luke Littler to beat Rob Cross -1.5 Handicap 2pts at 4/6 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Luke Littler to win Week 11 (Hit The Wire Offer) 1pt at 11/4 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Michael Smith to beat Gerwyn Price 2pts at 11/8 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Nathan Aspinall to beat Michael van Gerwen 2pts at 6/4 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)


STAR PROFIT/LOSS (APR 2024): -0.55 POINTS


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