AUTHOR: Lewis Williams


Arsenal will be looking to extend their Premier League lead as they travel to relegation favourites Luton Town.

It’s the Gunners’ turn this week to possess what seems to be a weekly alternating Premier League crown, aided further by Kulusevski’s 90th-minute equaliser at the Etihad. A better opportunity to create a larger gap between themselves and Liverpool couldn’t have come at a better time, with the home side’s already thin squad being plagued by injuries in nearly every position.

It felt as if Rob Edwards’ Luton hit a turning point in their 1-1 draw with Liverpool in November. The side looked competent and hungry on home turf, and it looked inevitable after this that they would pick up their first Premier League win over Crystal Palace.

Luton Town v Arsenal
Premier League
20.15 Amazon Prime Video

(Maximum 10 matches)
DEC 1991 PREMIER LEAGUE Luton 1-0 Arsenal
AUG 1991 PREMIER LEAGUE Arsenal 2-0 Luton
DEC 1990 PREMIER LEAGUE Luton 1-1 Arsenal
AUG 1990 PREMIER LEAGUE Arsenal 2-1 Luton
APR 1990 PREMIER LEAGUE Luton 2-0 Arsenal
DEC 1989 PREMIER LEAGUE Arsenal 3-2 Luton

The inhabitants of Kenilworth Road must have been shocked at their form turnaround from Liverpool onwards. Those 4 points have propelled the odds-on relegation favourites out of the red zone and into 17th place, albeit aided by Everton’s deduction.

This moment of solace won’t last long though. With fixtures before the New Year including Arsenal, Man City, Newcastle and Chelsea, they desperately need to make the most of their time in heaven before the devil knows they’re dead.

Brentford were the first squad to put an end to Luton’s good run of form, where Luton clocked in 0.18 expected goals and looked lost at sea to the relentless waves of Thomas Frank’s side.

I underestimated Arsenal’s goalscoring potential when tipping a safe -1 win over Lens in Europe last week. After seeing they put 6 past Lens, I looked to see they went off a mere 1/3 in the win market that day which tells you a 6 goal cushion certainly wasn’t foreseen.

I was massively impressed with Tomiyasu’s balls in from the right side and the way that the players swarmed the box at the same time. All 5 goals that came in open play were from inside the box and the entire operation that night looked a glimpse of what might be achievable in an Arteta utopia. With games coming thick and fast for clubs in European competitions, Arsenal’s youthful squad seem to be taking it in their stride and there’s no reason why this won’t continue.

Although Luton’s improvement in form recently is certainly respectable, Arsenal are too stiff a test for them and will be the first of a string of defeats for the home side before 2024, so I’m taking a -2 handicap at 9/5 with

Three out of the last four of Trossard’s goalscoring matches have been the first goal of the match and therefore the gap between the anytime and first goalscorer market here might be too big at 9/2. This market is aided further by the promotion that sees 50% of your stake returned as a free bet if the player scores second instead of first.


BACK Arsenal -2 Handicap 3pts at 23/20 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)
BACK Leandro Trossard to score first 1pts at 19/4 (⭐ ? CLICK TO BET NOW)

PROFIT/LOSS (DEC 2023): PROFIT 10.15 points



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