For the second week running it’s a new tournament and a new venue, as the PGA heads to Minnesota for the 3M Open. The TPC Three Cities at Blaine, Minnesota is an Arnold Palmer designed course and has hosted the Champions (old blokes) Tour between 2001 and 2018.
Much like last week, this venue is expected to be an absolute birdie fest. Kenny Perry, won three of the last five editions of the Champions Tour event here, shooting a second round 60 in the final edition of the tournament 11 months ago.
At 7,468 yards the Par 71 course is of standard tour length. But the benign nature of the course with its large bent grass greens and super wide fairways will see the field be able to grip it and rip it without much fear of losing strokes. Expect another winning score of somewhere deep into the twenties under par.
Because there is no course form to speak of again, I am going to stick with my golfers who are trending up in form and offering value.
Blue Horseshoe loves
DANNY LEE Currently at 80/1 with starsports.bet
Lee is an enigma. He has got all the talent in the world and should have had more PGA Tour wins than he currently has (1). The South Korean born Kiwi has been working hard at developing more distance from the tee’s and its starting to pay dividends. His drives are now averaging well over 300 yards and his iron game has always been strong. But he seems to struggle with concentration and more often than not has one awful round out of his four that scuppers his chance to win. However, from his recent run of high finishing positions it is undeniable to see that his game is trending upwards and this soft, gettable course might just be the sort of event that Danny Lee can add another W to his PGA Tour tally.
PATRICK REED Currently at 25/1 with starsports.bet
I tipped Reed last week and he finished in the place money, eventually tying for fifth. His game is definitely on the upswing. The one part of his game that is still a bit hit and miss is his driving and with that issue almost removed due to the very generous fairways at this venue, I’m going to stick with Reed to go well again this week.
TALOR GOOCH Currently at 80/1 with starsports.bet
I was a little worried when Talor Gooch’s name started ascending the leader board last week in Detroit. This is a player I have identified in the past as having the sort of talent to win on tour at good odds and for a while last week I thought he was going to go on and win after I had got off him due to frustration with him not fulfilling his potential. Thankfully that did not occur, but he did show enough form to convince me again that he is not far away and is definitely good each way value.
SAM BURNS currently at 125/1 with starsports.bet
OLLIE SCHNIEDERJANS currently at 250/1 with starsports.bet
Now I know (much to own personal expense) that I have been banging the drum on these two outsiders all season long. And at times they have threatened to repay my faith in them by getting into promising positions in tournaments only for them to make awful decisions on particular holes, or play a sloppy round and put themselves out of contention. Well I am going to give ONE MORE CHANCE to my two problem children. Both of these guys have bags of talent and both of them drive the ball a country mile, but they can also spray it a bit. If there was ever a course where they could swing for the fences without too much danger this is it. I think this could be the week where one of them at least gets a place and repays my faith in them. If not, they are dead to me.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK DANNY LEE 1 pt each way at 80/1 with starsports.bet
BACK PATRICK REED 1.5 pt each way at 25/1 with starsports.bet
BACK TALOR GOOCH 1 pt each way at 80/1 with starsports.bet
BACK SAM BURNS 1 pt each way at 125/1 with starsports.bet
BACK OLLIE SCHNIEDERJANS 1 pt each way at 250/1 with starsports.bet
EW 1/5th odds, 6 places
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 216.14 points
(excluding Cricket World Cup ante-post)