STAR PREVIEW: Burnley v Liverpool

Liverpool have made a perfect start to the Premier League season but they will have a fight on their hands to keep that run going at Turf Moor as they face Burnley today.

Jurgen Klopp’s men are unbeaten in three following a 3-1 win over Arsenal thanks to a Mo Salah double in a convincing performance, but the week before they were forced to work much harder against Southampton in a 2-1 win and that could be a more relevant piece of form for today.

Southampton dominated the first half before Sadio Mane’s brilliant goal, after which Liverpool took control, but the Saints did manage to put pressure on the Reds and they could have stolen a point after a howler from Adrian gave a gift of a goal to Danny Ings.

Burnley’s small squad struggled with the Europa League last season but they were seventh in the campaign before and on the evidence of their three games so far, they should be closer to the top rather than the bottom half of the table this time round.

They were desperately unlucky not to take all three points from Wolves last week, being denied a brilliant scalp by Raul Jimenez’s stoppage-time penalty. They were very unlucky to score just one, with Ben Mee’s header hitting the bar with the rebound coming off Wolves defender Ryan Bennett and hitting the post, and the stats suggest they would have deserved three points too.

Burnley had double the shots on target of Wolves (the count was 4-2 in their favour) and dominated the expected goals ratings, scoring 1.6 according to Caley Graphics compared to 0.9 for the hosts. Ashley Barnes scored his fourth goal in three Premier League games this season and is having a brilliant start to the campaign, and he was ably supported by Johann Berg Gudmundsson, who served Burnley’s front two well with crosses in to the box whilst Jack Cork gave an assured performance in midfield.

Burnley v Liverpool
Premier League
17:30 Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Ultra HD

(Maximum 10 matches, since 1990)
MAR 2019 PREMIER LEAGUE Liverpool 4-2 Burnley
DEC 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Burnley 1-3 Liverpool
JAN 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Burnley 1-2 Liverpool
SEP 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Liverpool 1-1 Burnley
MAR 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Liverpool 2-1 Burnley
AUG 2016 PREMIER LEAGUE Burnley 2-0 Liverpool
MAR 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Liverpool 2-0 Burnley
DEC 2014 PREMIER LEAGUE Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
APR 2010 PREMIER LEAGUE Burnley 0-4 Liverpool
SEP 2009 PREMIER LEAGUE Liverpool 4-0 Burnley

Burnley are sometimes unfairly portrayed as a dour side but this season they have started with plenty of attacking energy and it’s notable that they had 18 shots at the Emirates and then 13 at Molineux. In their opening game, they were clinical 3-0 winners against the same Southampton side that gave Liverpool a good run for their money early on. They also had 10 shots on target that day and Sean Dyche’s men shouldn’t fear the visitors.

Of course Liverpool’s undoubted quality – no club is yet to prevent the front three of Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino from scoring so far this season – gives them the edge on paper but they’ve conceded in every game this season and Burnley have scored in each of theirs. Both teams have scored in the each of the last five games between the two and that could be the bet again.

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