They say good things come to those who wait, and we hit the riches yesterday with Golden Horde and Deidre bagging us 15/2 and 25/1 winners in spectacular style. Golden Horde was the benefit of a canny ride from Adam Kirby, who had him well positioned off what as a more sensible pace in the Richmond Stakes, and he found lots to hold off the challenge of favourite Threat. The two pulled clear, in a boost for the Coventry Stakes form which is working out well so far, but don’t give up on Guildsman, who had no run there.
As for Deidre, the impact will go a lot further than the downs. Even in Chichester, there was a large and enthusiastic Japanese travelling contingent and their delight at taking the big prize was clear. The Japanese racing community follows their horses far and wide, and they actually had the Prince of Wales’s Stakes moved to accommodate Deidre for Japanese TV when she ran on ground that was far too soft. Japanese runners have been a welcome addition to British racing recently, and it is to be hoped that this success will encourage even more trainers to take their chances at the highest level – and spread the sport even further. Deidre, in the meantime, could go to the QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes or even the Breeders’ Cup according to connections.
Today’s card is another tricky one, but it starts with a strong favourite in the Oak Tree Stakes (1.50) where Jubiloso can take the beating. A wide margin winner at Newbury on her second start, she was upped markedly in class in the Coronation Stakes and lost no credit when third there. She travelled as well as anything into the straight, but just found two better horses in front of her through no fault of her own. That experience should have improved her and this drop down to seven furlongs should help, and it might be that the course is her biggest challenge, so a draw of 6 is helpful. Angel’s Hideaway, Royal Intervention, and last year’s winner Pretty Baby are all feared.
The Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (2.25) is a tricky contest to work out with a range of horses that are closely matched, and like the Gordon Stakes yesterday, it could see a minor shock. It looks a race that’s best left to the form watchers, even with Turgenev and King Ottokar now non-runners.
The Golden Mile (3.00) is super competitive as ever, but Mojito, an impressive winner of the Coral Challenge at Sandown when he beat subsequent York winner (and major contender himself) Escobar on his first run for 637 days, holds a big chance. However, he’s just 7/2 and this is a good deal more competitive again with literally every horse in the field worthy of a close look.
Seniority has run once at Goodwood before, and that was when taking this race off just a 3lbs lower mark last year and coming with an impressive late run to collar Poet’s Society (who went onto take a very good York handicap at the Ebor meeting that season). Seniority hasn’t won since, but his only bad run has been at Meydan in January, and that is easily forgiven. He ran a fine race when second at Epsom, attempting to give Gossiping (also runs here) a stone, especially as he had to make use of himself early, to try and defy stall 1, but today if Ryan Moore gets some luck, he could find himself coming late as he did when taking the prize last season and he’s well handicapped to do so – mark up his run at Newcastle when the surface was too slow for him.
14 of the last 20 runnings have been won by horses starting from stalls 1-5, and of that contingent Beat Le Bon makes the most appeal. He hasn’t run at a mile since last September but the manner of his impressive victory in a valuable handicap here suggested that he’d thrive back up at a mile and so did his hard fought success at Haydock when he benefitted from a strong pace to get the better of Kimifive. He had to come wide in the valuable handicap here after waiting for a run but was well on top at the line and this step back up in trip should help him further still.
If you only manage to watch one race today, make it the King George Stakes (3.35). No, it’s not that King George, and there’s no Enable, but watching Battash fly across this flying five furlongs. He has done so in brilliant style for the last two years and should do so again, but he’s 2/7 and we have no need to go chasing such short prices.
There are three places to aim at here and a chance is taken on Big Brothers Pride. She has been the subject of much support since the market opened but with good reason, judged on her blistering win in the Prix Sigy at Chantilly. Having been on the early lead, she kicked off the front to win by four lengths with plenty more in the tank, and she earned herself a rating of 110 for that performance.
She could have gone further clear if she wanted there and it’s notable that Francoise Rohaut – who is three from five at Glorious Goodwood thanks to a great record in the Oak Tree Stakes – sees fit to send her here. She also gets a hefty weight allowance in a field that has many a horse who is more exposed than he is, and maybe she can be best of the rest here.
There was nothing that took the eye enough to put up in the Unibet Nursery Handicap (4.10), although Separate does catch the eye on her 5 furlong form. Mirage Dancer looks too far clear in the Queen’s Plate even if Baghdad came back to his best, and the closing TDN Australia Handicap (5.15) might well be one for the formbook.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK Jubiloso 3 pts win in 1.50 Goodwood at 11/10 with starsports.bet
BACK Seniority 1 pt each/way in 3.00 Goodwood at 11/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Beat Le Bon 1 pt each/way in 3.00 Goodwood at 9/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Big Brothers Pride 1 pt each/way in 3.35 Goodwood at 9/1 starsports.bet
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 197.42 points
(excluding Ryan Sidebottom Ashes bet (c/f double and Ashes preview outright, Wyndhams Tournament)