Golf can be a cruel game to punt on. I am still slightly reeling after my top tip from last week, Patrick Cantlay, threw away his chance to win at the Shriners Open with an inexplicable tee off on the 17th that ended up in a watery grave and pushed him into a marathon playoff with Kevin Na, that Cantlay would go onto to lose.
Oh well, let’s dry those tears and head onto Houston.
The more hardcore golf fans among you will probably be thinking; ‘Hang on a minute, the Houston Open is always held a week before the Masters isn’t it?’
And you’d be right. Due to rescheduling of some events next year the Houston Open finds itself being contested in Autumn rather than spring. That might not much to us weekend hackers, but it could be quite significant in the terms of this event. The Houston Open is traditionally set up to mirror Augusta a week later with greens, run off areas, and fairways mowed incredibly tight. Now they don’t have to do that this year the course, with its wide fairways and expansive greens, could be a good deal easier. The field is also considerably weaker than it usually would be as none of the big guns are coming to prepare for Augusta the following week.
In summation it’s all a bit of lottery this week, so I’m going to go for some dark horses that have been showing form and represent good each way value.
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
DANIEL BERGER currently at 22/1 with starsports.bet
Berger has bags of class, but he suffered injury last year and its been a slow road to full recovery. He did start to climb the Sunday leader board’s late last season though and this weak field event could be his chance to get another PGA Tour win on his resume.
RUSSELL HENLEY currently at 25/1 with starsports.bet
This is a pure ‘horses for courses’ bet. Henley hasn’t finished outside the top twenty in his last six starts here at Houston. Even better was that he won this tournament three years ago. He clearly likes it here so he’s a good shot at a high finish again.
KYLE STANLEY currently at 45/1 with starsports.bet
Stanley finished strongly at Las Vegas last week and while his long game is not the greatest, his iron game is amongst the best on tour, so with these wide big greens and dry conditions I’m hoping he can get some good run off his drives and fire them in close with his second shots.
SAM BURNS currently at 100/1 with starsports.bet
This guy is a definite future talent. He can drive it a country mile and his putting game is solid. The conditions should play to his strengths and this comparatively weak field is the sort of opportunity he should look to take with both hands.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK DANIEL BERGER 2pts ew at 22/1 with starsports.bet
BACK RUSSELL HENLEY 2pts ew at 25/1 with starsports.bet
BACK KYLE STANLEY 1pt ew at 45/1 with starsports.bet
BACK SAM BURNS 1pt ew at 100/1 with starsports.bet
(EW: 1/5 odds 6 places)
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 226.36 points
(excluding Political Bets posted 8 August, Premier League ante-post, Cameron Brown football bets)