We’re back to a familiar venue this week on the PGA Tour with a return to Deere Run in Illinois, where the event has been played since 2000. The 7,268 yard, Par 71, Deere Run course has a reputation as a low scoring venue with winning scores in excess of twenty under par being carded in four of the last five years. With past winners such as Brian Harman, Zach Johnson, Ryan Moore, Jordan Spieth and Michael Kim, it’s clear that prodigious length off the tee’s is not a prerequisite to do well here.
An amazing statistic is that we’ve had TEN first time winners on the PGA Tour this season. Players like Matt Wolff are coming to the PGA Tour ready to win and are not overawed by the occasion, or the opportunity to grab their maiden PGA tour win if it presents itself. While this makes picking winners even harder than usual, it’s great for the sport. The game of golf is in rude health at present. Long may it continue because it will make for excellent events and nail-biting finishes.
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Brian Harman – currently at 25/1 with starsports.bet
Harman played very well last week at the 3M Open to finish tied for seventh on sixteen under par. His straight driving game and excellent putting game are big assets around Deere Run and he knows how to win here, having been victorious in 2014.
Sam Burns – Currently at 45/1 with starsports.bet
Sam Burns must have heard about my threats to disown him last week, if he didn’t pull his socks up and play to the potential he clearly has. He finished alongside Harman on a tie for seventh on sixteen under par. His final round of seven under sixty-four was the low round of the day and he will take a great deal of belief from his very solid showing. I am going with Burns again. He is not far away in my eyes.
Danny Lee – Currently at 75/1 with starsports.bet
After a string of good performances and high finishes over the last month or so, Danny Lee was disappointing last week. But I’m prepared to cut him a break and give him another chance at a gentle venue that should suit his game very well.
Talor Gooch – Currently at 66/1 with starsports.bet
Gooch is another playing that has been knocking on the door this season. After watching a raft of his fellow debutants get wins this year, Gooch must also be thinking that he can take the next step from credible showings to actually winning one of these tournaments. His putting and driving games have been consistent and he represents great each way value at an undemanding venue such as this.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK BRIAN HARMAN 1.5pt each way 25/1 with starsports.bet
BACK SAM BURNS 1pt each way 45/1 with starsports.bet
BACK DANNY LEE 1pt each way 75/1 with starsports.bet
BACK TALOR GOOCH 1pt each way 66/1 with starsports.bet
ew 6 places 1/5 odds
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 164.73 points
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