STAR PREVIEW Mon: Brighton v Crystal Palace

Brighton are still very much in the Premier League danger zone but they’ve impressed in 2021 and they can land a crucial three points against Crystal Palace tonight. Graham Potter’s side are sixteenth – and only four points above the drop zone thanks to Fulham’s resurgent form – but their true performance is of a much higher level.

Infogol has Brighton sixth in their Premier League expected points table – a stunning number for a side in their position, and one which, let’s not forget, is forecast to finish fourteenth according to their model – and that level of performance could explain the fact they’ve finally hit form with a six-game unbeaten run.

That run of form becomes more impressive when one realises that Brighton have only lost 2 of their last 12 games – and those came against Arsenal and Manchester City. Recently The Seagulls have beaten Leeds, Tottenham and Liverpool whilst being unlucky not win their six-pointer against relegation rivals Fulham (won xG count 2.37 to 0.56) or indeed their 0-0 draw with Aston Villa (won the shot count 26-4, and shots on target count 9-1 when Emiliano Martinez saved Villa a point.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace
Premier League
20:00 Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Ultra HD

(Maximum 10 matches, since 2010)
OCT 2020 PREMIER LEAGUE Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
FEB 2020 PREMIER LEAGUE Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace
DEC 2019 PREMIER LEAGUE Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
MAR 2019 PREMIER LEAGUE Crystal Palace 1-2 Brighton
DEC 2010 PREMIER LEAGUE Brighton 3-1 Crystal Palace
APR 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Crystal Palace 3-2 Brighton
JAN 2018 FA CUP Brighton 2-1 Crystal Palace
NOV 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Brighton 0-0 Crystal Palace
MAY 2013 CHAMPIONSHIP PLAY-OFF Brighton 0-2 Crystal Palace
MAY 2013 CHAMPIONSHIP PLAY-OFF Crystal Palace 0-0 Brighton

Crystal Palace are one of many Premier League sides struggling with injury issues, but they miss one man much more than most – Wilfried Zaha. Their latest defeats against Leeds and Burnley made it 18 losses in 20 without Zaha (that’s six points from a possible 60) and they’ve fired blanks in four of their last five away league outings. That spells trouble against a Brighton side that have kept five clean sheets in their six-game unbeaten spell and the hosts can prove too good.

RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK Brighton 2 pts at 3/4 with
BACK Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace 1 pt at 5/1 with

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