STAR PREVIEW: Norwich City v Watford

We are only in early November but already tonight’s game between Norwich and Watford has the feel of a relegation six-pointer with both clubs desperately needing a result and fast.

Norwich are 4/9 for relegation with Star whilst Watford are not far behind at 5/6, and it’s easy to see why for both sides. Norwich made a bright start to the season – they beat Manchester City 3-2 at home in the middle of September and were sitting in 13th place after the first five games – but they’ve since won just six points and are now the bottom placed promoted side, having lost eight of their first 11 games.

Watford aren’t doing much better. They haven’t won any of their games yet and last week’s defeat against Chelsea kept them rooted to the bottom of the table. However, they are improving, even if slowly, and they have only lost three of their last eight in the Premier League – and two of those defeats came against Manchester City and Chelsea.

Norwich City v Watford
Premier League
20:00 Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Ultra HD

(Maximum 10 matches, since 2000)
MAY 2016 PREMIER LEAGUE Norwich 4-2 Watford
DEC 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Watford 2-0 Norwich
FEB 2015 CHAMPIONSHIP Watford 0-3 Norwich
AUG 2014 CHAMPIONSHIP Norwich 3-0 Watford
SEP 2013 CAPITAL ONE CUP Watford 2-3 Norwich
APR 2011 CHAMPIONSHIP Watford 2-2 Norwich
AUG 2010 CHAMPIONSHIP Norwich 2-3 Watford
APR 2009 CHAMPIONSHIP Watford 1-1 Norwich
DEC 2008 CHAMPIONSHIP Watford 2-1 Norwich
MAR 2008 CHAMPIONSHIP Watford 1-1 Norwich

There’s a case to be made for all three of the match outcomes here being value. Norwich will be boosted by the return to fitness of several players, although they will still be without Timm Klose, Christoph Zimmermann and Grant Hanley in defence. Watford have struggled for goals – they’ve got six league goals and two of them are penalties – but they are facing the second worst defence in the League (only Southampton, beaten 9-0 by Leicester, have let in more).

It would be a surprise if there were not plenty of goals here – 100% of Norwich’s games at Carrow Road this season have seen over 2.5 goals and that could be the best option given how hard it is to trust either side.

RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK Over 2.5 goals 5 pts at 4/6 with

PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 227.89 points
(excluding Political Bets posted 8 August, Premier League ante-post, Cameron Brown football bets)