G’day golf fans. It seems I might have a few hundred more readers after my result last week, if you are new to the group, welcome, you are in a safe space. Please place your biscuits on the tray beside the orange juice and find a seat.
Obviously, I can’t promise results like my mother of all weeks at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but I’d put my long-term record of cashing collects in PGA golf tournaments against anyone in the golf betting game.
Thanks to my association with the excellent Star Sports, who deliver their customers the kind of individual quality of service that the giant conglomerate bookmakers either seem unable or unwilling to offer punters anymore, I’m only too happy to share with you who I like before the beginning of each tournament and the reasons for my selections.
This week it’s the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina.
The past winners at the Harbour Town, reads like a short drivers roll of honour: Jim Furyk, Brandt Snedeker, Graeme McDowell, Matt Kuchar, Satoshi Kodiara, C.T. Pan.
The par 71, Pete Dye designed course is short by todays PGA tour standards, running out at only 7099 yards. But that does not mean it’s a walk over. Many of the Bermuda greens are postage stamp small. A good iron game and good scrambling game nearly always trumps a good driving game here. The big boys will not be able to overpower this course, because they will either run out of fairway or go sailing over the greens. Placement and ball striking is everything at Harbour Town. Being that it’s a links course there is also the offshore winds to contend with, so contenders must come with the full compliment of shots in the bag and be right on top of their shot control.
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Justin Rose currently at 28/1 with starsports.bet
Rose was desperately unlucky not to be in the play off on Sunday evening. After a stuttering start on Sunday he powered home with a 32 over the back nine and for the lack of one more forward revolution of his putt for birdie on eighteen, he would have joined Berger and Morikawa to decide the tournament. Clearly the decision he made during the break to go back to his predominantly Taylor Made gear has proved to be a very good one based on his performance last week. Rose suddenly looks like the Rose of old again, boringly good.
Justin Thomas currently at 15/1 with starsports.bet
Thomas hit the ground running post lockdown and played some superb golf. Unfortunately for him he just couldn’t get the putts to drop on Sunday and lipped out a bunch of times. His post game comments showed he is very happy with where his game is at and I think that if he gets off to any sort of start this week, he’ll be very hard to beat.
Xander Schauffele currently at 20/1 with starsports.bet
Xander should have won last week and his comments afterwards showed he knew it. Some players might implode from letting a chance to win slip, but I don’t think Schauffele is that sort of character. Mentally he is a very tough cookie and he was swinging the club so well over the weekend that it looked like he had it on a string at times. I really rate this guy and its impossible for me not have him again this week.
Brian Harman currently at 125/1 with starsports.bet
Harman’s performances were trending upwards before the lockdown and his performance of tied for 23rd last week was an encouraging sign that he’s retained that good form. Hilton Heads is made for a golfer like Harman. He canot live with the big bombers on the monster driving courses but he can more than hold his own on short technical tracks. Importantly he is also in the top twenty in scrambling for the season, which has often proven to be one of the most important stats at Hilton Head. All in all, Harman represents good each way value to me here.
Patrick Reed currently at 28/1 with starsports.bet
This is a golfer many people love to hate. I’m not one of them. I love the guy. This is not popularity contest. It’s a golfing contest and this guy has been a cash cow for me in recent times. I got him at 50-1 to win at the Masters a couple of years ago and at 45-1 to win the Northern Trust late last year and I’ve got place money off him numerous times, including last week. I’m as in love with fat Pat as its possible for a straight man to be. The man is in the golfing form of his life right now and I don’t think he’s done yet. As I’ve said on this blog before, he’ll be my first pick for the Masters later in the year. I’m going again with him this week because he showed with his tied seventh finish last week, including a sparkling third round 63, that he’s lost none of his form. When on song, Reed’s iron and scrambling play is a thing of beauty and he is currently ranked second on tour in strokes gained putting.
Thanks and Good Luck.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK JUSTIN ROSE 1.5 pt each way at 28/1 with starsports.bet
BACK JUSTIN THOMAS 1.5 pt each way at 15/1 with starsports.bet
BACK XANDER SCHAUFFELE 1.5 pt each way at 20/1 with starsports.bet
BACK BRIAN HARMAN 1 pt each way at 125/1 with starsports.bet
BACK PATRICK REED 1 pt each way at 28/1 with starsports.bet
ew 7 places 1/5 odds
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 273.65 points
(Excluding Cheltenham 2021 antepost, Premier League ante-post, Six Nations Outright, Six Nations Specials, Cameron Brown Football Bets, Derby bet)