It’s the final PGA Tour event of the 2020 calendar, a calendar many of us will be more than happy to tear up and burn. We’re down Mexico way for the Mayakoba classic this week. The course is a short, technical par 70 track that measures just a touch over 7,000 yards. You don’t need to be long here but you do need to be accurate as there is plenty of lush vegetation to gobble up your golf ball just off the fairways. The roll of past winners such as Brendon Todd, Matt Kuchar and Graeme McDowell, shows the course rewards players who have a good handle on their driving game.
It was a shame that DJ withdrew from the tournament this week, but it still leaves a fairly decent field. Justin Thomas is impossible to ignore and will more than likely be right in the thick of things. But you know me, I can’t take a red hot favourite. I’m always looking for players with a realistic chance of winning at a good each way price.
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Brendon Todd – currently 50/1 with starsports.bet
Todd won here last year with an impressive winning score of twenty under par. This short, tight course is perfectly set up for his game, his recent form has been solid and few people have putted better than Todd this year. I think the defending champion is outstanding each way value at 50/1.
Corey Conners – currently at 30/1 with starsports.bet
I love this guys swing. He is inside the top twenty on tour in driving accuracy and is one of the best in the game with a mid iron in his hand from the fairway. He is also tied first in top ten finishes on tour this season. That’s impressive consistency and I think he’s well capable of adding to that tally at course that will reward his accuracy.
Adam Long – currently 55/1 with starsports.bet
The man that came second to Brendon Todd by a single stroke last year was Adam Long. He has been on an definite upward trend lately with a few high leader board finishes. Once again this is a layout that plays to Longs strengths of straight driving and good ball striking. I’m expecting him to give another good showing this week.
Tony Finau – currently at 22/1 with starsports.bet
Finau is nice and straight with his driver. He is also super long, so that length combined with his accuracy off the tee should put him at a distinct advantage at Mayakoba. The only thing with Finau is his putting, which is where he has fallen down so often in the past. But Finau has been working hard with putting guru Brad Faxon and I have noticed a definite improvement in his putting game. The greens are small but not terribly fast or difficult and the field is not especially strong. If there was an event where Tony could finally record his second PGA tour win, this could be it.
Alex Noren – currently at 66/1 with starsports.bet
Noren needs a course that plays to his strengths, which are ball striking, scrambling and putting. His recent form is definitely been trending upwards and he looks good each way value this week.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK Brendon Todd 1.5 pts each way at 50/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Corey Conners 1 pt each way at 30/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Adam Long 1 pt each way at 55/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Tony Finau 1 pt each way at 22/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Alex Noren 1 pt each way at 66/1 with starsports.bet
ew 1/5 odds 6 places
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 98.36 points
(Excluding Cheltenham 2021 antepost, Premier League 2020/21 Ante Post, Champions League Ante-post, 2021 Grand National recommended bet 14 Nov 2020)