Another week another short course challenge. At 6,841 yards the par 70 at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell Connecticut, is a course that never fails to offer up the opportunity for PGA Tour players to make super low scores. Jim Furyk carded a remarkable 58 here in 2016 and Patrick Cantlay carded a 60 in his amateur days. Chez Reavie is the defending champion and past winners include the Scotsman, Russel Knox and Jordan Spieth. Those names demonstrate that you don’t have to be long to win here. What do have to be is straight. This is another Pete Dye creation that demands accuracy, not as much as last week at Harbour Town, but still enough that the heavily tree lined fairways and small greens can bite the players who try and get too greedy off the tee. What you also have to be is right on top of your putting game, because everyone’s going to be able to reach the greens fair easily, so it’s a case of who’ll convert best when they get there.
Blue Horseshoe Loves
Webb Simpson currently at 20/1 with starsports.bet
After missing the cut the first week back, Webb Simpson’s entire game was rock solid last week. His putting display in particular was nothing short of awesome. Length is not an issue here, but putting is and if I’m betting on someone to sink a putt to win a tournament my moneys on this guy. He did it last year at Phoenix, he did it last week at Harbour Town. And if he’s in the same position this week, he can do it again.
Justin Thomas currently at 12/1 with starsports.bet
One of my top picks last week, Thomas started poorly at Harbour Town and barely made the cut. But to his immense credit, he played some exceptional golf over the final two rounds including a final round 63 that saw him briefly hit the top of the leader board. His Sunday 63 could have been even lower if it wasn’t for a lightning storm that interrupted his momentum. There’s no doubt his poor start cost him last week, but his impressive surge over the final two rounds shows me his game is firing on all cylinders.
Patrick Cantlay currently at 25/1 with starsports.bet
I know this is a bit of risky proposition, being that we haven’t seen Cantlay so far in this restarted season, but a little birdie tells me that he’s been practising very well. That’s enough for me to stick him in the mix. The guy has serious game and with a previous score of 60 at TPC River Highlands he clearly favours this venue to make his reappearance at.
Brian Harman currently at 66/1 with starsports.bet
I’m going to stick with Harman this week. He played very solidly at Harbour Town and has previously stated that he prefers this Pete Dye designed course above any of his others, as the layout suits his eye and his game very well. He is accurate off the tee’s and his putting and scrambling stats are amongst the best on tour.
Cameron Smith currently at 175/1 with starsports.bet
For each way odds I’m going for the little Aussie Battler, Cameron Smith. If it does come down to a chipping and putting contest, Smith is amongst the best in the game if his putter gets hot.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK WEBB SIMPSON 1.5 pt each way at 20/1 with starsports.bet
BACK JUSTIN THOMAS 2 pt each way at 12/1 with starsports.bet
BACK PATRICK CANTLAY 1.5 pt each way at 25/1 with starsports.bet
BACK BRIAN HARMAN 1 pt each way at 66/1 with starsports.bet
BACK CAMERON SMITH 1 pt each way at 175/1 with starsports.bet
ew 7 places 1/5 odds
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 272.87 points
(Excluding Cheltenham 2021 antepost, Premier League ante-post, Six Nations Outright, Six Nations Specials, Cameron Brown Football Bets, Derby bet)