The group stage of the Champions League is approaching its conclusion and this clash between Manchester City and PSG will go a long way to deciding who tops Group A.
Manchester City have the upper hand thanks to a couple of draws for PSG – they were held 1-1 at Club Brugge and drew 2-2 with RB Leipzig on the last matchday – and they can more or less seal top spot with victory tonight.
PSG got the better of City in their first match-up, but that result was extremely unfair on City. PSG made the most of their two best moves of the night, with Lionel Messi scoring a brilliant goal after a 1-2 with Kylian Mbappe, but in-between City totally dominated.
Raheem Sterling and Bernando Silva hit the bar in the space of five seconds, with Silva missing an open goal from four yards out, whilst Riyad Mahrez and Kevin de Bryune forced Gianluigi Donnarumma into five saves between them.
They won the shot count 18-6, the shots on target count 7-3, and InfoGol’s xG count 1.71 to 0.57 – whilst City keeper Ederson only touched the ball 13 times and made one save, whilst Donnarumma had 44 involvements.
Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League Group Stage
20:00 BT Sport 2 HD / BT Sport Ultimate HD
(Maximum 10 matches)
SEP 2021 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PSG 2-0 Manchester City
MAY 2021 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Manchester City 2-0 PSG
APR 2021 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PSG 1-2 Manchester City
APR 2016 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Manchester City 1-0 PSG
APR 2016 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PSG 2-2 Manchester City
DEC 2008 UEFA CUP Manchester City 0-0 PSG
That result does underline the power of PSG’s individual brilliance – and any side with Kylian Mbappe Neymar and Lionel Messi can never be counted out – but in the Champions League PSG’s structural flaws have been more exposed and they could be vulnerable against City.
It’s noticeable that Leipzig won the shot count 1-7 and the shots on target count 6-4 when PSG went to Germany, and similar numbers could spell trouble for the visitors tonight.
Manchester City will be hurt by the absence of Kevin De Bryune in midfield, but Bernardo Silva was excellent in City’s 3-0 win against Everton on Sunday whilst Joao Cancelo has been magnificent all season on the left flank, and City look well placed to put pressure on PSG from the get-go.
The visitors will be a constant threat; Kylian Mbappe alone has scored nine goals in his last eight games, and the 9/5 on him scoring at anytime will be massively tempting to many, but City look better placed to take overall victory.
For a side bet, consider the 10/3 on Joao Cancelo to assist a goal – his brilliant outside of the boot pass against Everton made is 6 assists in his last three games, he was heavily involved in the reverse fixture, and the absence of De Bryune could mean he plays an even more influential role here.
PROFIT/LOSS (NOVEMBER 2021): LOSS -5.60 points
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