Group E has been high on drama and low on goals and we could be in for a tense encounter as Sweden face Poland in St Petersburg this afternoon. The Swedes have four points from their two games, meaning that they have a foot in the last 16 – even a defeat could see them through – whilst Poland need a win to make it through, and both sides have shown their strengths in their opening two encounters.
Sweden were resilient against Spain – when they had chances to pull off a sucker punch thanks to Markus Berg and Alexander Isak – and were cautious early on against Slovakia before asserting themselves in the second half, with Emil Forsberg’s second-half penalty giving them a deserved victory.
Sweden v Poland
UEFA EURO 2020 Group E
17:00 ITV4 / ITV Hub
(Maximum 10 matches)
JUN 2004 FRIENDLY Sweden 3-1 Poland
SEP 2003 EURO 2004 QUALIFYING Poland 0-2 Sweden
JUN 2003 EURO 2004 QUALIFYING Sweden 3-0 Poland
OCT 1999 EURO 2000 QUALIFYING Sweden 2-0 Poland
MAR 1999 EURO 2000 QUALIFYING Poland 0-1 Sweden
MAY 1997 FRIENDLY Sweden 2-2 Poland
MAY 1992 FRIENDLY Sweden 5-0 Poland
AUG 1991 FRIENDLY Poland 2-0 Sweden
Poland had some bad luck when losing 2-1 to Slovakia – a shot bounced off the post and rebounded in off Poland goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny, and midfielder Grzegorz Krychowiak was then sent off for a second booking after they’d worked their way back into the game – but they were much better against Spain, when they posed a real threat on the counter attack and managed to take a point thanks to Robert Lewandowski’s header.
They did look more open than Sweden against the Spaniards, however – it’s worth remembering that Spain missed a penalty through Gerard Moreno with Alvaro Morata missing the open goal with his follow up attempt – and with this being a must-win game, Paulo Sousa’s side will need to push forward which could leave their defence exposed.
We haven’t seen a whole lot of Sweden going forward at this tournament, but when they pushed harder against Slovakia they began to impress with young striker Alexander Isak impressing as he completed six of his seven dribbles and nearly scored a fantastic goal.
These two teams are hard to separate in the market but Sweden have looked more defensively solid than Poland so far and could find themselves suited by facing a side that will have to leave gaps going forward, so they are the choice to seal their spot in the last 16 win a win.
PROFIT/LOSS (EURO 2020): PROFIT 9.11 points