Last week we had a decent enough result last week with 75/1 selection Cameron ‘Mullet’ Smith placing in 4th alone. There was a moment on Sunday where I thought he was about to win, but he couldn’t quite get the putter to fire. It’s a very interesting scenario we find ourselves in this week. After being forced to find a new venue for their tournament this year, the Concession Golf Club in Bradenton Florida, the WGC have settled on a course that has never held a PGA Tournament. That means there is absolutely no course form to go back and reference.
The only course form of any note comes from Bryson DeChambeau, who won the NCAA individual championship here in 2015 when shooting 280 (−8) to win by one stroke. After doing some further research on this course one thing is for certain; Concession Golf Club, is no walk in the park. This 7,500-yard par 72 behemoth has the reputation as one of the toughest golf courses in America. The Jack Nicklaus, Tony Jacklin designed layout snakes its way through lush Florida marshland and many of the holes take their design cues from famously tough courses such as Augusta, Royal Melbourne and Royal Troon. Whoever comes out on top in this stellar field on Sunday will have certainly worked hard for it.
I’m working hard at coming to rest on my selections this week. As always, I’m looking for long odds value rather than short-priced favourites, but I must say due to the lack of course data I’ve really struggled to whittle my picks down from about eight to my final four.
WGC Workday Championship
The Concession Golf Club, Bradenton, Florida
Thursday 25th February – Sunday 28th February
Live on Sky Sports Main Event HD and Sky Sports Golf HD from 4pm Thursday
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Rasmus Højgaard – currently at 110/1 with starsports.bet
I think this might be the price of the year. The young Dane is a rising star in world golf. He is only 19 years old (he turns twenty in mid-March) and already he has won two events on the European tour. He is plenty long off the tee, averaging well over three hundred yards driving distance and is inside the top ten in shots gained of the tee and overall stroke average. He has started this year solidly with decent performances in Dubai and Saudi and I feel he could be a real eye opener for the American audiences this week.
Patrick Reed – currently at 30/1 with starsports.bet
I believe Patrick Reed is continually overpriced by the bookies. Here’s a guy who is a ten-time winner on tour, has won this year on a very tough Torrey Pines layout, has a history of playing the difficult courses well, is one of the best chippers and putters on tour, and yet is still at 30/1 for this tournament. I’ll take that each way value all day thank you.
Tony Finau – currently at 20/1 with starsports.bet
Finau finished like a freight train last week at Riviera and was unlucky to lose in a playoff to Max Homa. I think all the work he has been doing with Brad Faxon on his putting is really paying dividends. Concession should suit Finau well. He’s effortlessly long and straight off the tee, which will be a real help around here, and sits inside the top ten for the year in strokes gained approaching the green and overall scoring average. I think he gets that second win very soon.
Laurie Canter – currently at 125/1 with starsports.bet
Now this one is a bit left field but bear with me. I have been impressed with Canter’s performances over the last few months on the European tour and after looking into his stats he reads well in a good deal of stats that will probably matter around Concession at a no cut event, stats like driving distance, strokes gained to the green and scoring average. Laurie could Canter into a place at a very nice price.
BACK Rasmus Højgaard 1 pt each/way at 110/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Patrick Reed 1 pt each/way at 30/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Tony Finau 1 pt each/way at 20/1 with starsports.bet
BACK Laurie Canter 1 pt each/way at 125/1 with starsports.bet
Each way 1/5 odds, 6 places
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