Ok, stay with me here for a minute. Over the next two weeks we will be watching two separate PGA Tour events at the same course, Muirfield in Ohio. The first week it will be the Workday Charity Open, which is in place of the cancelled John Deere Classic. The tournament will be played off shorter tees. The rough will be lower and the greens will be slower. The second weeks it’s The Memorial, which is Jack Nicklaus’ tournament and is always held at Muirfield. The tee’s boxes will be set back to their standard length. The rough will be longer and the greens will be mown to make them quicker. Confused yet?
Why the PGA just didn’t have the two tournaments at two separate courses is beyond me. I mean it’s not as if the U.S. doesn’t have enough spare PGA level golf courses lying around. But as they say, it is what it is, so let’s try and get down to picking a winner or two. If you’ve been following me since my five picks for five returns a few weeks, you’re probably wondering why you bothered by now and I wouldn’t blame you. My form has been awful since then. But that’s how it goes sometimes, so I’m just going to keep following my logic, which still has me positive since the Masters last year. I’m sure it’ll come good again soon.
This week at Muirfield, Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Justin Rose – currently 25/1 with starsports.bet
Rose likes it at Muirfield. He won the event in 2010 and was tied for thirteenth here last year. The soft and easy playing conditions should play to his positional and ball striking strengths very well and I think he represents good value
Patrick Cantlay – currently 14/1 with starsports.bet
I tipped Patrick Cantlay to win The Memorial here last year and he won it in style, two shots clear from Adam Scott on nineteen under. Granted this is a different tournament with different conditions, but I can’t see that adversely affecting Cantlay. He took last week off and went to Muirfield early in order to prepare and I think that extra preparation should benefit him.
Jason Day – currently 66/1 with starsports.bet
This is Day’s home course. He lives nearby and would play on it a great deal more than the others have in the way it will be set up for the first weeks playing conditions. Day is coming back from injury and while he’s still not in what you would call world beating nick, the Aussie is a classy player and still has the tools to surprise at long odds.
Michael Thompson currently 150/1 with starsports.bet
Here is another player whose performances have been trending well since the return from lockdown. He played well at this venue last year to finish in a tie for 14th and I think he represents solid each way value this week.
Sam Burns currently 175/1 with starsports.bet
Sam Burns’ performances have been trending upwards over the last few tournaments as well. He played solidly on the demanding Donald Ross layout in Detroit and I think he represents good each way value.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK JUSTIN ROSE 1.5 pt each way at 25/1 with starsports.bet
BACK PATRICK CANTLAY 1.5 pt each way at 14/1 with starsports.bet
BACK JASON DAY 1 pt each way at 66/1 with starsports.bet
BACK MICHAEL THOMPSON 1 pt each way at 150/1 with starsports.bet
BACK SAM BURNS 1 pt each way at 175/1 with starsports.bet
ew 7 places 1/5 odds
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 245.92 points
(Excluding Cheltenham 2021 antepost, Premier League ante-post, Six Nations Outright, Six Nations Specials, Cameron Brown Football Bets, Derby bet)