We head to North Carolina this week as the PGA Tour makes its last stop before the FEDEX Cup playoff series. This is a crucial week for many players in the field. Not only is it the last chance for players hovering outside of the top 125 money earners mark to secure their PGA Tour playing privileges for next season, but by doing so they also advance into the extremely lucrative end of season FEDEX Cup series, which starts next week.
The Sedgefield country club has hosted many PGA Tour events down the years. The Donald Ross designed 7,127 yard par 70 track, with its tight fairways and small greens has an emphasis on accuracy rather than distance. The roll call of winners down the years such as Brandt Snedeker, Henrik Stenson, and Si Woo Kim prove that point.
Blue Horseshoe Loves:
Brian Harman – currently at 80/1 with starsports.bet
I can’t believe the price on Harman this week! The diminutive Harman is one of the straightest hitters on tour. He is also a prodigiously good putter and seldom has a sloppy round. This shorter course layout is one he will finally feel he can get after and I think he represents sensational each way value. Brian Harman at these prices might just turn out to be one of the value bets of the year.
Webb Simpson – currently at 9/1 with starsports.bet
I must admit I find Webb Simpson uncomfortably short, but you can’t argue with his recent form in much stronger fields. Simpsons superb final round sixty four at the St. Jude Invitational saw him finish second behind Brooks Koepka. He also finished second at this event and venue last year. If Simpson carries forward that combination of recent form and course form he should be too good.
Cameron Smith – currently at 30/1 with starsports.bet
I have been following the Australian for some time now and his game is trending upwards very nicely. His high leader board finish at both the Open and last week at the St. Jude show he is coming into good form. As more an accuracy based player rather than length, this course should play to his strengths. He just needs to lose the one bad round he seems to be having somewhere in his four currently and he’ll be right there.
Patrick Reed – currently at 20/1 with starsports.bet
I’m starting to get frustrated with Mr. Reed as he has flirted with the top of the leader board over recent weeks but still can’t quite seem to sink enough birdies to push for the lead. He has gone through a hell of a lot of work this year remodelling his swing and it does seem to be paying dividends now with steadily improving finishes. I remain convinced that his Masters win was not just a flash in the pan and I am going to keep the faith with him again this week at a venue that should play to his iron play strengths.
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)
BACK BRIAN HARMAN 1 pt each/way at 80/1 with starsports.bet
BACK WEBB SIMPSON 2 pt each/way at 9/1 with starsports.bet
BACK CAMERON SMITH 1 pt each/way at 30/1 with starsports.bet
BACK PATRICK REED 1 pt each/way at 20/1 with starsports.bet
EW 1/4 odds 6 places
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 174.42 points
(excluding Ryan Sidebottom Ashes bet, Ashes preview and Goodwood day two preview)