Interview: PATRICK ENGLISH is a professional psephologist, political forecaster and lecturer in data analytics at the University of Exeter. Patrick has worked on the UK election Exit Poll in the past and crated a forecast for the Presidential Election that was won by Joe Biden. Meeting Patrick English.
PATRICK ENGLISH (part 1 of 2)
In Part 1, Patrick tells us about his background in data and discusses the results of the 2020 US election, including the question of why was there such a gap between the betting markets and the polling forecasts.
PATRICK ENGLISH (part 2 of 2)
In Part 2, Patrick explains how political forecasts are created, considers what polling companies may do to try and be closer to the result in subsequent elections, how punters should consider polls moving forward.